Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 16:00 • Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.61) 1.98 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.5% 21.5% 43.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.5%
2 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Keçiörengücü
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sakaryaspor 0 2.6% 5.1% 5.1% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
1 4.3% 8.6% 8.5% 5.6% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 7.2% 7.1% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.0% 4.0% 4.0% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
4 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSakaryasporKeçiörengücü
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack100%36%
Defense45%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sakaryaspor Keçiörengücü
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins50%33%40%20%20%20%
Draws25%33%30%60%40%50%
Loses25%33%30%20%40%30%

Form: Sakaryaspor: DWLLDWLDWW • Keçiörengücü: WDLLDWDDLD

League goals

Metric Sakaryaspor Keçiörengücü
HATHAT
GF total612183710
GF avg1.52.01.80.61.41.0
GA total710173912
GA avg1.81.71.70.61.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSakaryasporKeçiörengücü
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%80%70%70%
1.540%40%20%30%
2.520%30%10%10%
3.510%20%0%10%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSakaryasporKeçiörengücü
HATHAT
Clean sheets112303
Failed to score101303

Penalties

MetricSakaryasporKeçiörengücü
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricSakaryasporKeçiörengücü
Wins11
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-62-11-3
Biggest losses1-44-11-24-1
Goals For3623
Goals Against4424

Model comparison

MetricSakaryasporKeçiörengücü
Form63%38%
Att73%27%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h93%7%
Goals69%31%
Total66.2%34.0%

Advice: Double chance : Sakaryaspor or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.43 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.98 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.22 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sakaryaspor = 1.68 (league 1.61), Keçiörengücü = 1.98 (league 1.28)

Keçiörengücü
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sakaryaspor 0 2.6% 5.1% 5.1% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
1 4.3% 8.6% 8.5% 5.6% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 7.2% 7.1% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.0% 4.0% 4.0% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
4 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.5% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 43.6%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1