Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 16:00 • Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.63) 0.40 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.4% 20.1% 7.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.6%
2 - 0
18.0%
3 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ümraniyespor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sakaryaspor 0 10.7% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.6% 7.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.0% 7.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.0% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSakaryasporÜmraniyespor
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack100%23%
Defense31%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sakaryaspor Ümraniyespor
HATHAT
Played68148614
Wins50%25%36%38%17%29%
Draws17%38%29%25%0%14%
Loses33%38%36%38%83%57%

Form: Sakaryaspor: DWLLDWLDWWWLLD • Ümraniyespor: WLDLLLWDLLLWLW

League goals

Metric Sakaryaspor Ümraniyespor
HATHAT
GF total91726729
GF avg1.52.11.90.90.30.6
GA total10162691221
GA avg1.72.01.91.12.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSakaryasporÜmraniyespor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%79%57%79%
1.550%50%7%43%
2.521%43%0%21%
3.57%14%0%7%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSakaryasporÜmraniyespor
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score101246

Penalties

MetricSakaryasporÜmraniyespor
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total50

Streaks

MetricSakaryasporÜmraniyespor
Wins31
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-62-10-1
Biggest losses1-44-11-34-0
Goals For3621
Goals Against4434

Model comparison

MetricSakaryasporÜmraniyespor
Form54%46%
Att82%18%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h33%67%
Goals38%63%
Total55.7%44.5%

Advice: Winner : Sakaryaspor

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Betano
Draw4.52 @ Pinnacle
Away6.60 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sakaryaspor = 1.84 (league 1.63), Ümraniyespor = 0.40 (league 1.27)

Ümraniyespor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sakaryaspor 0 10.7% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.6% 7.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.0% 7.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.0% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.4% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 7.3%

vtt 4 , vtd1