Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 11:30 • Mersin Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.63) 1.87 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.8% 21.8% 62.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.3%
0 - 2
12.5%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sarıyer
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hatayspor 0 7.1% 13.3% 12.5% 7.8% 3.6% 1.4%
1 5.5% 10.3% 9.6% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0%
2 2.1% 4.0% 3.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHataysporSarıyer
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack28%17%
Defense44%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hatayspor Sarıyer
HATHAT
Played78157815
Wins0%0%0%29%25%27%
Draws29%38%33%29%0%13%
Loses71%63%67%43%75%60%

Form: Hatayspor: LLDDLDLLLLDLLLD • Sarıyer: LDLLLLLWLWDLWLW

League goals

Metric Hatayspor Sarıyer
HATHAT
GF total510155813
GF avg0.71.31.00.71.00.9
GA total17223981422
GA avg2.42.82.61.11.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHataysporSarıyer
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%100%53%80%
1.520%73%20%53%
2.57%53%13%13%
3.50%27%0%0%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHataysporSarıyer
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score314347

Penalties

MetricHataysporSarıyer
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricHataysporSarıyer
Wins01
Draws21
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-3
Biggest losses1-45-00-23-0
Goals For2323
Goals Against4523

Model comparison

MetricHataysporSarıyer
Form22%78%
Att63%38%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total41.7%58.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sarıyer

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.00 @ Unibet
Draw4.97 @ Pinnacle
Away1.52 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.45 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hatayspor = 0.77 (league 1.63), Sarıyer = 1.87 (league 1.28)

Sarıyer
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hatayspor 0 7.1% 13.3% 12.5% 7.8% 3.6% 1.4%
1 5.5% 10.3% 9.6% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0%
2 2.1% 4.0% 3.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.8% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 62.2%

vtt 8 , vtd1