1. Lig — Turkey
Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:00 • BG Grup 4 Eylül Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.63) 0.80 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.1% 33.5% 29.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.7%
1 - 0
16.6%
0 - 1
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Erzurum BB
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sivasspor 0 17.7% 14.1% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.6% 13.2% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.8% 6.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSivassporErzurum BB
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack50%75%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sivasspor Erzurum BB
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins56%0%26%40%44%42%
Draws44%40%42%60%33%47%
Loses0%60%32%0%22%11%

Form: Sivasspor: LDLLWDWDDDDLWLWLDDW • Erzurum BB: WDDWDWDDDDWWDLWLDWW

League goals

Metric Sivasspor Erzurum BB
HATHAT
GF total15621181533
GF avg1.70.61.11.81.71.7
GA total514199817
GA avg0.61.41.00.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSivassporErzurum BB
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%58%95%58%
1.521%32%53%26%
2.511%5%21%5%
3.55%5%5%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSivassporErzurum BB
HATHAT
Clean sheets538448
Failed to score156011

Penalties

MetricSivassporErzurum BB
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricSivassporErzurum BB
Wins12
Draws44
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-0—4-00-3
Biggest losses—4-2—2-0
Goals For5243
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricSivassporErzurum BB
Form44%56%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Erzurum BB

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Dafabet
Away2.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sivasspor = 0.94 (league 1.63), Erzurum BB = 0.80 (league 1.28)

Erzurum BB
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sivasspor 0 17.7% 14.1% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.6% 13.2% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.8% 6.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.1% · Draw 33.5% · Away win 29.3%

vtt 18 , vtd1