Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 11:30 • Mersin Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.63) 2.37 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.4% 16.7% 69.5%
best score tips
0 - 2
12.1%
0 - 1
10.2%
0 - 3
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
76 Iğdır Belediyespor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hatayspor 0 4.3% 10.2% 12.1% 9.6% 5.7% 2.7%
1 3.3% 7.9% 9.4% 7.4% 4.4% 2.1%
2 1.3% 3.1% 3.6% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8%
3 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHatayspor76 Iğdır Belediyespor
Played55
Form7%53%
Attack13%21%
Defense46%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hatayspor 76 Iğdır Belediyespor
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins0%0%0%46%33%40%
Draws33%23%28%46%17%32%
Loses67%77%72%8%50%28%

Form: Hatayspor: LLDDLDLLLLDLLLDLLDLLDLLLL • 76 Iğdır Belediyespor: WLDDLWWWWDLDLWWWDDLLWLDWD

League goals

Metric Hatayspor 76 Iğdır Belediyespor
HATHAT
GF total81119201434
GF avg0.70.80.81.51.21.4
GA total303868122133
GA avg2.52.92.70.91.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHatayspor76 Iğdır Belediyespor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%100%76%84%
1.516%76%36%32%
2.54%56%16%16%
3.50%28%8%0%
4.50%12%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHatayspor76 Iğdır Belediyespor
HATHAT
Clean sheets000314
Failed to score6511246

Penalties

MetricHatayspor76 Iğdır Belediyespor
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricHatayspor76 Iğdır Belediyespor
Wins04
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-3
Biggest losses0-55-01-23-0
Goals For2343
Goals Against5523

Model comparison

MetricHatayspor76 Iğdır Belediyespor
Form11%89%
Att38%63%
Def28%72%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total26.6%73.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or 76 Iğdır Belediyespor

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home16.00 @ Unibet
Draw9.18 @ Pinnacle
Away1.15 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hatayspor = 0.77 (league 1.63), 76 Iğdır Belediyespor = 2.37 (league 1.27)

76 Iğdır Belediyespor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hatayspor 0 4.3% 10.2% 12.1% 9.6% 5.7% 2.7%
1 3.3% 7.9% 9.4% 7.4% 4.4% 2.1%
2 1.3% 3.1% 3.6% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8%
3 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.4% · Draw 16.7% · Away win 69.5%

vtt 3 , vtd1