Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 14:00 • Spoi̇nt İnşaat Ümrani̇yespor Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.63) 1.46 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.7% 24.2% 35.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Boluspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ümraniyespor 0 4.9% 7.1% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
1 7.6% 11.1% 8.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.7% 6.3% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.1% 4.5% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricÜmraniyesporBoluspor
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack33%33%
Defense92%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ümraniyespor Boluspor
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins42%23%32%58%31%44%
Draws25%15%20%0%38%20%
Loses33%62%48%42%31%36%

Form: Ümraniyespor: WLDLLLWDLLLWLWDLWWLLWWLDD • Boluspor: LDWWWDLDLDDWLWLWWLWWLLWLW

League goals

Metric Ümraniyespor Boluspor
HATHAT
GF total20828232245
GF avg1.70.61.11.91.71.8
GA total131932141933
GA avg1.11.51.31.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineÜmraniyesporBoluspor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%68%84%76%
1.520%32%48%28%
2.512%20%24%16%
3.58%8%16%8%
4.58%0%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricÜmraniyesporBoluspor
HATHAT
Clean sheets538426
Failed to score369134

Penalties

MetricÜmraniyesporBoluspor
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricÜmraniyesporBoluspor
Wins23
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-24-11-6
Biggest losses1-34-01-35-1
Goals For5246
Goals Against4435

Model comparison

MetricÜmraniyesporBoluspor
Form57%43%
Att50%50%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h40%60%
Goals33%67%
Total52.7%47.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Boluspor

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ Unibet
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away2.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.96 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Pinnacle
No2.11 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ümraniyespor = 1.56 (league 1.63), Boluspor = 1.46 (league 1.28)

Boluspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ümraniyespor 0 4.9% 7.1% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
1 7.6% 11.1% 8.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.7% 6.3% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.1% 4.5% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.7% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 35.2%

vtt 4 , vtd1