Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 13:00 •
Spoi̇nt İnşaat Ümrani̇yespor Stadyumu
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.63)
1.70 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.7% | 23.7% | 58.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.3%
0 - 2
12.2%
1 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Erzurumspor FK | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ümraniyespor | 0 | 8.4% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ümraniyespor | Erzurumspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 100% |
| Attack | 80% | 100% |
| Defense | 20% | 90% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 17 | 3.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ümraniyespor | Erzurumspor FK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 43% | 27% | 34% | 57% | 64% | 61% |
| Draws | 21% | 13% | 17% | 43% | 21% | 32% |
| Loses | 36% | 60% | 48% | 0% | 14% | 7% |
Form: Ümraniyespor: WLDLLLWDLLLWLWDLWWLLWWLDDWLLW • Erzurumspor FK: WDDWDWDDDDWWDLWLDWWWWWWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Ümraniyespor | Erzurumspor FK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 10 | 35 | 35 | 25 | 60 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 17 | 22 | 39 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ümraniyespor | Erzurumspor FK | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 66% | 72% | 96% | 46% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 38% | 64% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 17% | 29% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 7% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ümraniyespor | Erzurumspor FK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ümraniyespor | Erzurumspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ümraniyespor | Erzurumspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-2 | 7-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ümraniyespor | Erzurumspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 32% | 68% |
| Att | 32% | 68% |
| Def | 11% | 89% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 30.3% | 69.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Erzurumspor FK
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ümraniyespor = 0.77 (league 1.63), Erzurumspor FK = 1.70 (league 1.27)
| Erzurumspor FK | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ümraniyespor | 0 | 8.4% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.7% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 58.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1