Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 13:00 • Spoi̇nt İnşaat Ümrani̇yespor Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.62) 1.71 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.8% 23.6% 58.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.2%
0 - 2
12.1%
1 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Erzurumspor FK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ümraniyespor 0 8.3% 14.2% 12.1% 6.9% 3.0% 1.0%
1 6.5% 11.1% 9.5% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 2.5% 4.3% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricÜmraniyesporErzurumspor FK
Played55
Form47%100%
Attack40%100%
Defense60%90%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.624 | 4.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ümraniyespor Erzurumspor FK
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins43%27%34%60%64%62%
Draws21%13%17%40%21%31%
Loses36%60%48%0%14%7%

Form: Ümraniyespor: WLDLLLWDLLLWLWDLWWLLWWLDDWLLW • Erzurumspor FK: WDDWDWDDDDWWDLWLDWWWWWWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Ümraniyespor Erzurumspor FK
HATHAT
GF total251035432568
GF avg1.80.71.22.91.82.3
GA total172239101020
GA avg1.21.51.30.70.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineÜmraniyesporErzurumspor FK
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%72%97%48%
1.524%38%66%17%
2.514%17%31%3%
3.510%7%17%0%
4.57%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricÜmraniyesporErzurumspor FK
HATHAT
Clean sheets5388715
Failed to score3710011

Penalties

MetricÜmraniyesporErzurumspor FK
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricÜmraniyesporErzurumspor FK
Wins22
Draws24
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-28-10-3
Biggest losses1-34-02-0
Goals For5283
Goals Against4432

Model comparison

MetricÜmraniyesporErzurumspor FK
Form32%68%
Att25%75%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%63%
Total30.7%69.5%

Advice: Winner : Erzurumspor FK

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.00 @ Bet365
Draw3.70 @ Unibet
Away1.73 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.84 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.87 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ümraniyespor = 0.78 (league 1.62), Erzurumspor FK = 1.71 (league 1.26)

Erzurumspor FK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ümraniyespor 0 8.3% 14.2% 12.1% 6.9% 3.0% 1.0%
1 6.5% 11.1% 9.5% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 2.5% 4.3% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.8% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 58.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1