1. Lig — Turkey
Thu, Apr 9 2026 • 17:00 • Esenler Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.63) 1.43 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.8% 21.8% 27.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.3%
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Amed
0 1 2 3 4 5
Esenler Erokspor 0 3.3% 4.7% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.5% 9.3% 6.7% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.5% 9.3% 6.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.3% 6.1% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.1% 3.0% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEsenler EroksporAmed
Played55
Form47%100%
Attack60%100%
Defense40%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.816 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Esenler Erokspor Amed
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins56%59%58%82%44%64%
Draws31%24%27%18%25%21%
Loses13%18%15%0%31%15%

Form: Esenler Erokspor: DLWWWWWLWDDWDWLWDDDWDWWWWWWWWDLLW • Amed: LDWWWLWLWWDWWLWWWDWWLDWWDDWDWWWWW

League goals

Metric Esenler Erokspor Amed
HATHAT
GF total364076423274
GF avg2.32.42.32.52.02.2
GA total151631112233
GA avg0.90.90.90.61.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEsenler EroksporAmed
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%64%85%61%
1.561%21%61%27%
2.545%9%30%9%
3.527%0%21%3%
4.512%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEsenler EroksporAmed
HATHAT
Clean sheets57128513
Failed to score235145

Penalties

MetricEsenler EroksporAmed
Scored (total | %)11 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total114

Streaks

MetricEsenler EroksporAmed
Wins83
Draws32
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-57-01-8
Biggest losses0-22-1—4-1
Goals For5578
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricEsenler EroksporAmed
Form32%68%
Att36%64%
Def10%90%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h29%71%
Goals54%46%
Total36.0%64.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Amed

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.51 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ 188Bet
Away3.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.38 @ BetVictor
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Esenler Erokspor = 1.98 (league 1.63), Amed = 1.43 (league 1.26)

Amed
0 1 2 3 4 5
Esenler Erokspor 0 3.3% 4.7% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.5% 9.3% 6.7% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.5% 9.3% 6.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.3% 6.1% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.1% 3.0% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.8% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 27.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1