Mon, Apr 13 2026 • 17:00 •
Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.63)
2.48 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.7% | 15.3% | 71.9% |
best score tips
0 - 2
12.5%
0 - 3
10.4%
0 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Esenler Erokspor | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sakaryaspor | 0 | 4.1% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sakaryaspor | Esenler Erokspor |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 33% | 60% |
| Defense | 47% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sakaryaspor | Esenler Erokspor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 16 | 17 | 33 |
| Wins | 35% | 12% | 24% | 56% | 59% | 58% |
| Draws | 29% | 29% | 29% | 31% | 24% | 27% |
| Loses | 35% | 59% | 47% | 13% | 18% | 15% |
Form: Sakaryaspor: DWLLDWLDWWWLLDDLWLLDLLLLDLLDWDWLDL • Esenler Erokspor: DLWWWWWLWDDWDWLWDDDWDWWWWWWWWDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Sakaryaspor | Esenler Erokspor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 21 | 43 | 36 | 40 | 76 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 22 | 35 | 57 | 15 | 16 | 31 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sakaryaspor | Esenler Erokspor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 82% | 85% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 50% | 61% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 24% | 45% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 12% | 27% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 12% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sakaryaspor | Esenler Erokspor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sakaryaspor | Esenler Erokspor |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 11 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 11 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sakaryaspor | Esenler Erokspor |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-6 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sakaryaspor | Esenler Erokspor |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 23% | 77% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 41.3% | 58.7% |
Advice: Winner : Esenler Erokspor
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.80 @ Dafabet
Draw4.10 @ 1xBet
Away1.60 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.16 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.61 @ Unibet
No2.08 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sakaryaspor = 0.72 (league 1.63), Esenler Erokspor = 2.48 (league 1.26)
| Esenler Erokspor | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sakaryaspor | 0 | 4.1% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.7% · Draw 15.3% · Away win 71.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1
