Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 10:30 •
Yusuf Ziya Onis
Expected Goals
2.65 (league 1.64)
0.57 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 76.2% | 12.7% | 5.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
14.0%
3 - 0
12.4%
1 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Hatayspor | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sarıyer | 0 | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.0% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.4% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sarıyer | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 0% |
| Attack | 33% | 14% |
| Defense | 71% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 15 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sarıyer | Hatayspor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 16 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 33 |
| Wins | 47% | 25% | 36% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 18% | 19% | 18% | 25% | 18% | 21% |
| Loses | 35% | 56% | 45% | 75% | 82% | 79% |
Form: Sarıyer: LDLLLLLWLWDLWLWWLDWWWLLWLDWDLLWDW • Hatayspor: LLDDLDLLLLDLLLDLLDLLDLLLLLLLLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Sarıyer | Hatayspor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 14 | 37 | 10 | 13 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 16 | 25 | 41 | 40 | 52 | 92 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 2.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sarıyer | Hatayspor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 67% | 55% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 42% | 12% | 82% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 12% | 3% | 61% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 27% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sarıyer | Hatayspor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sarıyer | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sarıyer | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sarıyer | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 72.4% | 27.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Sarıyer or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sarıyer = 2.65 (league 1.64), Hatayspor = 0.57 (league 1.26)
| Hatayspor | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sarıyer | 0 | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.0% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.4% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.2% · Draw 12.7% · Away win 5.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1