Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 •
Pendik Stadyumu
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.63)
0.78 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.0% | 20.6% | 13.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.5%
2 - 0
12.4%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Boluspor | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pendikspor | 0 | 6.3% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.4% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Pendikspor carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 95 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Pendikspor -6.1, Boluspor -19.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Pendikspor
vs
Boluspor
Elo gapPendikspor +95
Home / draw / away51% / 19% / 30%
Expected home share63%
Combined Elo2997.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2997.4
Elo home share
63%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Pendikspor | Boluspor |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1528.5 | 1468.9 |
| Form Elo | 1526 | 1449.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1529.1 | 1488.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1526.1 | 1600.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1553.8 | 1472.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -6.1 | -19.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Pendikspor last-5 Elo change: -6.1; Boluspor last-5 Elo change: -19.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pendikspor | Boluspor |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 27% |
| Attack | 55% | 73% |
| Defense | 55% | 9% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pendikspor | Boluspor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 18 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 42% | 50% | 22% | 36% |
| Draws | 33% | 44% | 39% | 6% | 28% | 17% |
| Loses | 17% | 22% | 19% | 44% | 50% | 47% |
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BolusporLDWWWDLDLDDWLWLWWLWWLLWLWLLLWLLDLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Pendikspor | Boluspor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 31 | 24 | 55 | 33 | 25 | 58 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 12 | 20 | 32 | 19 | 35 | 54 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pendikspor | Boluspor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 56% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 22% | 42% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 8% | 19% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 3% | 14% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 6% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pendikspor | Boluspor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 8 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pendikspor | Boluspor |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pendikspor | Boluspor |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-5 | 6-0 | 1-6 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pendikspor | Boluspor |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 65.0% | 35.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.60 @ William Hill
Draw4.12 @ Pinnacle
Away5.60 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.05 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.18 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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