Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 13:00 • De Zwaaier
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.19 (league 1.66) 3.79 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.1% 13.5% 49.2%
best score tips
2 - 3
5.5%
2 - 4
5.2%
1 - 3
5.0%
Score & goals probability table
Spakenburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kozakken Boys 0 0.3% 1.0% 1.8% 2.3% 2.2% 1.6%
1 0.6% 2.1% 4.0% 5.0% 4.8% 3.6%
2 0.6% 2.3% 4.4% 5.5% 5.2% 3.9%
3 0.4% 1.7% 3.2% 4.0% 3.8% 2.9%
4 0.2% 0.9% 1.7% 2.2% 2.1% 1.6%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.7%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKozakken BoysSpakenburg
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack29%47%
Defense76%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kozakken Boys Spakenburg
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%80%56%60%25%44%
Draws25%20%22%0%50%22%
Loses50%0%22%40%25%33%

Form: Kozakken Boys: WWDLWLWDW • Spakenburg: WDLWWDLLW

League goals

Metric Kozakken Boys Spakenburg
HATHAT
GF total5813101020
GF avg1.31.61.42.02.52.2
GA total941361117
GA avg2.30.81.41.22.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKozakken BoysSpakenburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%100%67%
1.544%44%67%44%
2.511%33%33%44%
3.511%0%22%22%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKozakken BoysSpakenburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets123303
Failed to score202000

Penalties

MetricKozakken BoysSpakenburg
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricKozakken BoysSpakenburg
Wins22
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-31-24-01-3
Biggest losses0-31-35-2
Goals For4244
Goals Against3235

Model comparison

MetricKozakken BoysSpakenburg
Form59%41%
Att38%62%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h15%85%
Goals35%65%
Total41.5%58.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Spakenburg

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.73 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away2.23 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.54 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.42 @ Marathonbet
No2.62 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kozakken Boys = 2.19 (league 1.66), Spakenburg = 3.79 (league 1.52)

Spakenburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kozakken Boys 0 0.3% 1.0% 1.8% 2.3% 2.2% 1.6%
1 0.6% 2.1% 4.0% 5.0% 4.8% 3.6%
2 0.6% 2.3% 4.4% 5.5% 5.2% 3.9%
3 0.4% 1.7% 3.2% 4.0% 3.8% 2.9%
4 0.2% 0.9% 1.7% 2.2% 2.1% 1.6%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.7%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.1% · Draw 13.5% · Away win 49.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1