Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 13:30 • Sportpark Denoek
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.68) 0.32 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.2% 30.8% 9.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
26.1%
0 - 0
21.5%
2 - 0
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Amsterdam
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hoek 0 21.5% 7.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.1% 8.5% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.8% 5.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHoekAFC Amsterdam
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack38%24%
Defense76%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hoek AFC Amsterdam
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins83%67%75%33%50%42%
Draws17%0%8%17%0%8%
Loses0%33%17%50%50%50%

Form: Hoek: WWWDLWWWLWWW • AFC Amsterdam: LWDWLWLWWLLL

League goals

Metric Hoek AFC Amsterdam
HATHAT
GF total1011218614
GF avg1.71.81.81.31.01.2
GA total371011718
GA avg0.51.20.81.81.21.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHoekAFC Amsterdam
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%83%67%
1.558%17%25%58%
2.533%0%8%17%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHoekAFC Amsterdam
HATHAT
Clean sheets314134
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricHoekAFC Amsterdam
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricHoekAFC Amsterdam
Wins32
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-10-2
Biggest losses—2-01-43-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against1243

Model comparison

MetricHoekAFC Amsterdam
Form67%33%
Att62%38%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total66.8%33.3%

Advice: Double chance : Hoek or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Unibet
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away3.60 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Superbet
No2.10 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hoek = 1.21 (league 1.68), AFC Amsterdam = 0.32 (league 1.54)

AFC Amsterdam
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hoek 0 21.5% 7.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.1% 8.5% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.8% 5.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.2% · Draw 30.8% · Away win 9.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1