Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 13:30 • Sportpark Dijkpolder
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.70) 0.78 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.9% 31.8% 26.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.9%
0 - 0
15.7%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Amsterdam
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excelsior Maassluis 0 15.7% 12.2% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.9% 13.1% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.0% 7.0% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExcelsior MaassluisAFC Amsterdam
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack64%73%
Defense27%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Excelsior Maassluis AFC Amsterdam
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins43%0%21%43%43%43%
Draws14%29%21%14%14%14%
Loses43%71%57%43%43%43%

Form: Excelsior Maassluis: LLLDLLLWWDWLLD • AFC Amsterdam: LWDWLWLWWLLLDW

League goals

Metric Excelsior Maassluis AFC Amsterdam
HATHAT
GF total1061611819
GF avg1.40.91.11.61.11.4
GA total8172512921
GA avg1.12.41.81.71.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExcelsior MaassluisAFC Amsterdam
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%71%86%71%
1.529%50%36%57%
2.514%36%14%14%
3.57%14%0%7%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExcelsior MaassluisAFC Amsterdam
HATHAT
Clean sheets404134
Failed to score325112

Penalties

MetricExcelsior MaassluisAFC Amsterdam
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricExcelsior MaassluisAFC Amsterdam
Wins22
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0—3-10-2
Biggest losses0-45-01-43-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against4543

Model comparison

MetricExcelsior MaassluisAFC Amsterdam
Form56%44%
Att47%53%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.30 @ Unibet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.24 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Unibet
No2.20 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Excelsior Maassluis = 1.07 (league 1.70), AFC Amsterdam = 0.78 (league 1.56)

AFC Amsterdam
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excelsior Maassluis 0 15.7% 12.2% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.9% 13.1% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.0% 7.0% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.9% · Draw 31.8% · Away win 26.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1