Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 13:30 • Sportpark Denoek
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.64 (league 1.68) 0.86 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.6% 8.5% 4.8%
best score tips
3 - 0
8.9%
4 - 0
8.1%
3 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Barendrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hoek 0 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.0% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.3% 6.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.9% 7.7% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.1% 7.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 5.9% 5.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHoekBarendrecht
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack100%91%
Defense45%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.216 | 3.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hoek Barendrecht
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins71%71%71%43%29%36%
Draws29%0%14%14%0%7%
Loses0%29%14%43%71%57%

Form: Hoek: WWWDLWWWLWWWDW • Barendrecht: LLLWLLWWLDLWLW

League goals

Metric Hoek Barendrecht
HATHAT
GF total121325121325
GF avg1.71.91.81.71.91.8
GA total5813162541
GA avg0.71.10.92.33.62.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHoekBarendrecht
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%71%93%
1.564%21%50%71%
2.529%0%36%50%
3.50%0%14%29%
4.50%0%7%21%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHoekBarendrecht
HATHAT
Clean sheets314101
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricHoekBarendrecht
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricHoekBarendrecht
Wins32
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-01-5
Biggest losses—2-00-68-0
Goals For3345
Goals Against2268

Model comparison

MetricHoekBarendrecht
Form65%35%
Att52%48%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h40%60%
Goals43%57%
Total58.8%41.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Hoek or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.51 @ 1xBet
Draw5.00 @ Pinnacle
Away5.51 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Unibet
No2.50 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.84 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hoek = 3.64 (league 1.68), Barendrecht = 0.86 (league 1.54)

Barendrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hoek 0 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.0% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.3% 6.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.9% 7.7% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.1% 7.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 5.9% 5.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.6% · Draw 8.5% · Away win 4.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1