Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 13:30 • Sportpark Dijkpolder
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.70) 1.22 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.3% 24.1% 27.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Spakenburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excelsior Maassluis 0 5.5% 6.7% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.2% 11.3% 6.9% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.5% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.3% 5.3% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExcelsior MaassluisSpakenburg
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack21%53%
Defense68%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Excelsior Maassluis Spakenburg
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins40%0%20%55%33%45%
Draws30%30%30%9%44%25%
Loses30%70%50%36%22%30%

Form: Excelsior Maassluis: LLLDLLLWWDWLLDDDWLDL • Spakenburg: WDLWWDLLWWWLWWLDWDDL

League goals

Metric Excelsior Maassluis Spakenburg
HATHAT
GF total13821271946
GF avg1.30.81.12.52.12.3
GA total92332192039
GA avg0.92.31.61.72.22.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExcelsior MaassluisSpakenburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%70%95%80%
1.525%40%70%45%
2.510%30%30%35%
3.55%15%15%25%
4.50%5%5%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExcelsior MaassluisSpakenburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets606404
Failed to score437101

Penalties

MetricExcelsior MaassluisSpakenburg
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricExcelsior MaassluisSpakenburg
Wins23
Draws32
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0—8-01-3
Biggest losses0-45-00-55-2
Goals For4284
Goals Against4555

Model comparison

MetricExcelsior MaassluisSpakenburg
Form45%55%
Att29%71%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h29%71%
Goals37%63%
Total43.5%56.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Spakenburg

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.65 @ Unibet
Draw3.80 @ Betfair
Away2.15 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Unibet
No2.45 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Excelsior Maassluis = 1.68 (league 1.70), Spakenburg = 1.22 (league 1.54)

Spakenburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Excelsior Maassluis 0 5.5% 6.7% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.2% 11.3% 6.9% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.5% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.3% 5.3% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.3% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 27.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1