Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 13:30 •
Sportpark Dijkpolder
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.74)
1.23 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.3% | 24.3% | 28.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Spakenburg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Excelsior Maassluis | 0 | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.3% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Excelsior Maassluis | Spakenburg |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 21% | 53% |
| Defense | 68% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Excelsior Maassluis | Spakenburg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 40% | 0% | 20% | 55% | 33% | 45% |
| Draws | 30% | 30% | 30% | 9% | 44% | 25% |
| Loses | 30% | 70% | 50% | 36% | 22% | 30% |
Excelsior MaassluisLLLDLLLWWDWLLDDDWLDL
SpakenburgWDLWWDLLWWWLWWLDWDDL
League goals
| Metric | Excelsior Maassluis | Spakenburg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 8 | 21 | 27 | 19 | 46 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 9 | 23 | 32 | 19 | 20 | 39 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Excelsior Maassluis | Spakenburg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 70% | 95% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 40% | 70% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 30% | 30% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Excelsior Maassluis | Spakenburg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Excelsior Maassluis | Spakenburg |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Excelsior Maassluis | Spakenburg |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | — | 8-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 5-0 | 0-5 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Excelsior Maassluis | Spakenburg |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 37% | 63% |
| Total | 43.5% | 56.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.65 @ Unibet
Draw3.80 @ Betfair
Away2.15 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.52 @ Unibet
No2.45 @ William Hill
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League standings
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