Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 13:30 •
Sportpark Dijkpolder
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.73)
1.11 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.9% | 30.6% | 40.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.0%
0 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Hoek | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Excelsior Maassluis | 0 | 13.2% | 14.8% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Excelsior Maassluis | Hoek |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 47% | 47% |
| Defense | 76% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Excelsior Maassluis | Hoek | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 11 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 42% | 9% | 26% | 64% | 64% | 64% |
| Draws | 25% | 27% | 26% | 36% | 0% | 18% |
| Loses | 33% | 64% | 48% | 0% | 36% | 18% |
Excelsior MaassluisLLLDLLLWWDWLLDDDWLDLWLW
HoekWWWDLWWWLWWWDWDLWLDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Excelsior Maassluis | Hoek | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 12 | 29 | 17 | 19 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 12 | 23 | 35 | 8 | 12 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Excelsior Maassluis | Hoek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 70% | 86% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 39% | 50% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 26% | 23% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 13% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Excelsior Maassluis | Hoek | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Excelsior Maassluis | Hoek |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Excelsior Maassluis | Hoek |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 5-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Excelsior Maassluis | Hoek |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 42.2% | 57.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.87 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.56 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.60 @ Betano
No2.19 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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