Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:30 •
Sportpark de Boshoek
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.73)
1.37 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.3% | 25.5% | 36.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
8.8%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Quick Boys | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| HHC | 0 | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
Quick Boys carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 41 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: HHC +12.7, Quick Boys +35.4.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
HHC
vs
Quick Boys
Elo gapQuick Boys +41
Home / draw / away33% / 25% / 42%
Expected home share44%
Combined Elo3198.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3198.9
Elo home share
44%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | HHC | Quick Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1561.6 | 1637.3 |
| Form Elo | 1568.5 | 1640.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1535.9 | 1582 |
| Attack Elo | 1583.6 | 1712.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1584.9 | 1651.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +12.7 | +35.4 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. HHC last-5 Elo change: +12.7; Quick Boys last-5 Elo change: +35.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | HHC | Quick Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 87% |
| Attack | 45% | 75% |
| Defense | 75% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | HHC | Quick Boys | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| Wins | 60% | 47% | 53% | 63% | 43% | 53% |
| Draws | 20% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 43% | 30% |
| Loses | 20% | 47% | 33% | 19% | 14% | 17% |
HHCWWWWWWWLLWLWDLWLWLLWDWLDDLLWWW
Quick BoysWWWDDWDWDWLWDWWWDWLDLDWLLWDWWW
League goals
| Metric | HHC | Quick Boys | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 30 | 21 | 51 | 31 | 30 | 61 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 15 | 20 | 35 | 13 | 17 | 30 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | HHC | Quick Boys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 70% | 90% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 27% | 47% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 13% | 27% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 7% | 20% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | HHC | Quick Boys | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | HHC | Quick Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | HHC | Quick Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 6-0 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | HHC | Quick Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 35.5% | 64.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.25 @ BetVictor
Draw3.58 @ Pinnacle
Away2.25 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.65 @ BetVictor
No2.20 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
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