Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:30 •
Sportpark Spanjaardslaan
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.73)
1.06 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.8% | 29.9% | 35.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| De Treffers | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Koninklijke HFC | 0 | 12.2% | 12.8% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 13.5% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
De Treffers carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 112 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Koninklijke HFC -27.2, De Treffers +37.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Koninklijke HFC
vs
De Treffers
Elo gapDe Treffers +112
Home / draw / away28% / 18% / 54%
Expected home share34%
Combined Elo3114.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3114.9
Elo home share
34%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Koninklijke HFC | De Treffers |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1484.1 | 1630.8 |
| Form Elo | 1478 | 1667.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1550.6 | 1545 |
| Attack Elo | 1446.3 | 1711.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1557.6 | 1560.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -27.2 | +37.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Koninklijke HFC last-5 Elo change: -27.2; De Treffers last-5 Elo change: +37.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Koninklijke HFC | De Treffers |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 87% |
| Attack | 30% | 80% |
| Defense | 50% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 16 | 3.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Koninklijke HFC | De Treffers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 60% | 13% | 37% | 60% | 47% | 53% |
| Draws | 13% | 7% | 10% | 27% | 20% | 23% |
| Loses | 27% | 80% | 53% | 13% | 33% | 23% |
Koninklijke HFCWLWDWLDLLWWLLLLDLWLWLLWWWLWLLL
De TreffersWWWLDLLLDDDLWWWWLWDLWWWDWWDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Koninklijke HFC | De Treffers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 57 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 13 | 28 | 41 | 13 | 21 | 34 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Koninklijke HFC | De Treffers | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 77% | 90% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 43% | 47% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 13% | 27% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 17% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Koninklijke HFC | De Treffers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Koninklijke HFC | De Treffers |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Koninklijke HFC | De Treffers |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 6-2 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Koninklijke HFC | De Treffers |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 19% | 81% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 27.5% | 72.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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