Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 14:00 • Aukštaitija stadionas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.38) 1.06 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.1% 26.6% 27.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
11.9%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Hegelmann Litauen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Panevėžys 0 8.4% 8.8% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.9% 12.6% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.5% 9.0% 4.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPanevėžysHegelmann Litauen
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack33%53%
Defense60%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Panevėžys Hegelmann Litauen
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins50%29%39%71%50%61%
Draws7%29%18%7%7%7%
Loses43%43%43%21%43%32%

Form: Panevėžys: LLWDLLWLWDWWDLDWLLLWWWLLWWLD • Hegelmann Litauen: LWWWWWLWLWLWWWDLWLWWWLWWDLLW

League goals

Metric Panevėžys Hegelmann Litauen
HATHAT
GF total192039271845
GF avg1.41.41.41.91.31.6
GA total142236152035
GA avg1.01.61.31.11.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePanevėžysHegelmann Litauen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%68%82%64%
1.536%39%46%46%
2.521%18%21%11%
3.50%4%7%4%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPanevėžysHegelmann Litauen
HATHAT
Clean sheets7294610
Failed to score325235

Penalties

MetricPanevėžysHegelmann Litauen
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricPanevėžysHegelmann Litauen
Wins35
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-35-20-3
Biggest losses2-43-00-24-0
Goals For3354
Goals Against4324

Model comparison

MetricPanevėžysHegelmann Litauen
Form50%50%
Att38%62%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h29%71%
Goals47%53%
Total45.8%54.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hegelmann Litauen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.98 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away2.34 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.99 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.15 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Panevėžys = 1.42 (league 1.38), Hegelmann Litauen = 1.06 (league 1.23)

Hegelmann Litauen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Panevėžys 0 8.4% 8.8% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.9% 12.6% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.5% 9.0% 4.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.1% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 27.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1