Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion G'uzor
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.45) 3.64 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.2% 8.8% 69.8%
best score tips
0 - 3
8.5%
1 - 3
7.7%
0 - 4
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Pakhtakor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shortan 0 1.1% 3.8% 7.0% 8.5% 7.7% 5.6%
1 1.0% 3.5% 6.4% 7.7% 7.0% 5.1%
2 0.4% 1.6% 2.9% 3.5% 3.2% 2.3%
3 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 0.7%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShortanPakhtakor
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack86%100%
Defense0%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shortan Pakhtakor
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins20%0%10%73%40%57%
Draws10%36%24%0%30%14%
Loses70%64%67%27%30%29%

Form: Shortan: LLDLLLLLDWLDWLLLDLLDL • Pakhtakor: LLWLLWWLWWWDWDWWLDWWW

League goals

Metric Shortan Pakhtakor
HATHAT
GF total11415251944
GF avg1.10.40.72.31.92.1
GA total21183981220
GA avg2.11.61.90.71.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShortanPakhtakor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%86%86%57%
1.510%62%57%33%
2.55%29%24%5%
3.50%10%19%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShortanPakhtakor
HATHAT
Clean sheets123639
Failed to score279123

Penalties

MetricShortanPakhtakor
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricShortanPakhtakor
Wins13
Draws11
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—6-02-6
Biggest losses1-44-02-32-0
Goals For3166
Goals Against4432

Model comparison

MetricShortanPakhtakor
Form17%83%
Att33%67%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h20%80%
Goals26%74%
Total25.8%74.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Pakhtakor

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.60 @ 188Bet
Draw4.55 @ 188Bet
Away1.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ SBO
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 188Bet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shortan = 0.91 (league 1.45), Pakhtakor = 3.64 (league 1.10)

Pakhtakor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shortan 0 1.1% 3.8% 7.0% 8.5% 7.7% 5.6%
1 1.0% 3.5% 6.4% 7.7% 7.0% 5.1%
2 0.4% 1.6% 2.9% 3.5% 3.2% 2.3%
3 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 0.7%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.2% · Draw 8.8% · Away win 69.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1