Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 14:00 • Pakhtakor Central Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.46) 0.31 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.8% 14.6% 4.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
19.6%
1 - 0
17.8%
3 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Surkhon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pakhtakor 0 8.1% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.8% 5.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.6% 6.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.4% 4.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.0% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPakhtakorSurkhon
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack100%40%
Defense60%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pakhtakor Surkhon
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins73%36%55%45%9%27%
Draws0%36%18%36%27%32%
Loses27%27%27%18%64%41%

Form: Pakhtakor: LLWLLWWLWWWDWDWWLDWWWD • Surkhon: LLLWLWDWLWLDLWDDDWLLDD

League goals

Metric Pakhtakor Surkhon
HATHAT
GF total25194412618
GF avg2.31.72.01.10.50.8
GA total8122081523
GA avg0.71.10.90.71.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePakhtakorSurkhon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%55%50%64%
1.555%32%23%36%
2.523%5%9%5%
3.518%0%0%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPakhtakorSurkhon
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410538
Failed to score1345611

Penalties

MetricPakhtakorSurkhon
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricPakhtakorSurkhon
Wins31
Draws13
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-02-63-10-1
Biggest losses2-32-00-23-1
Goals For6632
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricPakhtakorSurkhon
Form69%31%
Att73%27%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h60%40%
Goals64%36%
Total68.0%32.0%

Advice: Winner : Pakhtakor

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ 1xBet
Draw4.39 @ Pinnacle
Away8.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pakhtakor = 2.21 (league 1.46), Surkhon = 0.31 (league 1.12)

Surkhon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pakhtakor 0 8.1% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.8% 5.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.6% 6.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.4% 4.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.0% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.8% · Draw 14.6% · Away win 4.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1