Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 18:45 • The Jakemans Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.51) 0.81 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.9% 20.9% 14.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.2%
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Morecambe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Boston United 0 6.2% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.2% 9.9% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.9% 6.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.9% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBoston UnitedMorecambe
Played55
Form60%7%
Attack32%18%
Defense86%23%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.617 | 3.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Boston United Morecambe
HATHAT
Played77147613
Wins29%29%29%29%0%15%
Draws29%43%36%0%33%15%
Loses43%29%36%71%67%69%

Form: Boston United: WLLWLDLDLWDDWD • Morecambe: WLLLLDWLLLDLL

League goals

Metric Boston United Morecambe
HATHAT
GF total691510616
GF avg0.91.31.11.41.01.2
GA total71118192039
GA avg1.01.61.32.73.33.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBoston UnitedMorecambe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%86%62%100%
1.529%36%31%85%
2.514%7%15%69%
3.50%0%15%31%
4.50%0%0%15%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBoston UnitedMorecambe
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score325235

Penalties

MetricBoston UnitedMorecambe
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBoston UnitedMorecambe
Wins11
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-3—
Biggest losses0-23-02-55-0
Goals For2344
Goals Against2355

Model comparison

MetricBoston UnitedMorecambe
Form90%10%
Att64%36%
Def85%15%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total77.3%22.8%

Advice: Double chance : Boston United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.89 @ Dafabet
Draw3.88 @ Pinnacle
Away3.85 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.45 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ 188Bet
No2.45 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Boston United = 1.97 (league 1.51), Morecambe = 0.81 (league 1.23)

Morecambe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Boston United 0 6.2% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.2% 9.9% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.9% 6.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.9% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.9% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 14.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1