Tue, Nov 18 2025 • 19:45 • Mazuma Mobile Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.51) 1.48 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.9% 25.3% 41.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 1
9.3%
1 - 2
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Brackley Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morecambe 0 6.3% 9.3% 6.8% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4%
1 8.1% 12.0% 8.8% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.2% 7.7% 5.7% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.3% 3.3% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMorecambeBrackley Town
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack71%21%
Defense36%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Morecambe Brackley Town
HATHAT
Played810189918
Wins25%10%17%44%11%28%
Draws13%30%22%22%33%28%
Loses63%60%61%33%56%44%

Form: Morecambe: WLLLLDWLLLDLLWLDDL • Brackley Town: WLWDDLDDWWLLLDLWLL

League goals

Metric Morecambe Brackley Town
HATHAT
GF total1214267613
GF avg1.51.41.40.80.70.7
GA total21274881220
GA avg2.62.72.70.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMorecambeBrackley Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%94%61%67%
1.539%78%11%39%
2.517%56%0%6%
3.517%28%0%0%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMorecambeBrackley Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets011426
Failed to score235347

Penalties

MetricMorecambeBrackley Town
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricMorecambeBrackley Town
Wins12
Draws22
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-30-42-10-1
Biggest losses2-55-01-32-0
Goals For4422
Goals Against5532

Model comparison

MetricMorecambeBrackley Town
Form56%44%
Att77%23%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total56.3%43.8%

Advice: Double chance : Morecambe or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.03 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.79 @ Pinnacle
Away3.40 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ 188Bet
No2.33 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Morecambe = 1.29 (league 1.51), Brackley Town = 1.48 (league 1.23)

Brackley Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morecambe 0 6.3% 9.3% 6.8% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4%
1 8.1% 12.0% 8.8% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.2% 7.7% 5.7% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.3% 3.3% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.9% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 41.2%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1