Tue, Nov 11 2025 • 19:45 • LNER Community Stadium
Match Finished
4 - 1
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.51) 1.30 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.6% 28.3% 44.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.0%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Rochdale
0 1 2 3 4 5
York 0 10.8% 14.0% 9.1% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.0% 13.0% 8.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.6% 6.0% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricYorkRochdale
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack100%100%
Defense29%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 38 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric York Rochdale
HATHAT
Played89177815
Wins50%56%53%86%75%80%
Draws25%44%35%0%13%7%
Loses25%0%12%14%13%13%

Form: York: DWDDWWWLWDLWWDDWW • Rochdale: WWWLWWWWWWLWWDW

League goals

Metric York Rochdale
HATHAT
GF total221739171330
GF avg2.81.92.32.41.62.0
GA total8917448
GA avg1.01.01.00.60.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineYorkRochdale
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%65%93%40%
1.565%29%60%13%
2.541%6%33%0%
3.529%0%13%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricYorkRochdale
HATHAT
Clean sheets426459
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricYorkRochdale
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total50

Streaks

MetricYorkRochdale
Wins36
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-44-01-3
Biggest losses1-3—1-22-1
Goals For5443
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricYorkRochdale
Form52%48%
Att65%35%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total55.8%44.3%

Advice: Double chance : York or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.03 @ SBO
Draw3.82 @ Pinnacle
Away3.55 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ SBO
Under 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Pinnacle
No2.46 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): York = 0.93 (league 1.51), Rochdale = 1.30 (league 1.23)

Rochdale
0 1 2 3 4 5
York 0 10.8% 14.0% 9.1% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.0% 13.0% 8.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.6% 6.0% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.6% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 44.9%

Vtot 23 , Vtod1