Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 14:00 • Mangata Pay UK Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.52 (league 1.48) 0.83 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.6% 8.9% 5.0%
best score tips
3 - 0
9.4%
4 - 0
8.2%
2 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Morecambe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Boreham Wood 0 1.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.0% 6.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.4% 7.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.2% 6.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 5.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBoreham WoodMorecambe
Played54
Form73%25%
Attack65%18%
Defense53%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Boreham Wood Morecambe
HATHAT
Played336314
Wins67%33%50%33%0%25%
Draws0%67%33%0%0%0%
Loses33%0%17%67%100%75%

Form: Boreham Wood: LDWWDW • Morecambe: WLLL

League goals

Metric Boreham Wood Morecambe
HATHAT
GF total4711303
GF avg1.32.31.81.00.00.8
GA total46106410
GA avg1.32.01.72.04.02.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBoreham WoodMorecambe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%50%100%
1.567%50%25%75%
2.533%33%0%50%
3.517%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBoreham WoodMorecambe
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricBoreham WoodMorecambe
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBoreham WoodMorecambe
Wins21
Draws10
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-13-42-1
Biggest losses0-21-34-0
Goals For2420
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricBoreham WoodMorecambe
Form79%21%
Att79%21%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total71.3%28.7%

Advice: Winner : Boreham Wood

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ 188Bet
Draw4.83 @ Pinnacle
Away7.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.04 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Boreham Wood = 3.52 (league 1.48), Morecambe = 0.83 (league 1.25)

Morecambe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Boreham Wood 0 1.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.0% 6.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.4% 7.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.2% 6.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 5.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.6% · Draw 8.9% · Away win 5.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1