Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 14:00 • Brunton Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.98 (league 1.51) 0.32 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.3% 3.7% 0.9%
best score tips
3 - 0
14.3%
4 - 0
14.2%
5 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Truro City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carlisle 0 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.8% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.3% 4.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.2% 4.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.3% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarlisleTruro City
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack53%35%
Defense82%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carlisle Truro City
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%75%57%25%0%14%
Draws67%0%29%25%0%14%
Loses0%25%14%50%100%71%

Form: Carlisle: WDDWWLW • Truro City: LLLLLWD

League goals

Metric Carlisle Truro City
HATHAT
GF total9514516
GF avg3.01.32.01.30.30.9
GA total4265611
GA avg1.30.50.91.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarlisleTruro City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%43%43%86%
1.543%29%29%71%
2.529%14%14%0%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarlisleTruro City
HATHAT
Clean sheets134101
Failed to score000224

Penalties

MetricCarlisleTruro City
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCarlisleTruro City
Wins21
Draws20
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-23-0—
Biggest losses—2-10-22-0
Goals For5231
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricCarlisleTruro City
Form71%29%
Att60%40%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution92%8%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total73.3%26.8%

Advice: Winner : Carlisle

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Betano
Draw5.00 @ Bet365
Away7.50 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Betano
Under 2.52.25 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.96 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Carlisle = 3.98 (league 1.51), Truro City = 0.32 (league 1.23)

Truro City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carlisle 0 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.8% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.3% 4.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.2% 4.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.3% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.3% · Draw 3.7% · Away win 0.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1