Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 14:00 • Crown Oil Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.66 (league 1.48) 0.07 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.3% 1.2% 0.1%
best score tips
4 - 0
17.3%
5 - 0
16.1%
3 - 0
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
Braintree
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rochdale 0 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.9% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 17.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 16.1% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRochdaleBraintree
Played55
Form80%27%
Attack65%18%
Defense76%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rochdale Braintree
HATHAT
Played336437
Wins100%67%83%50%0%29%
Draws0%0%0%25%0%14%
Loses0%33%17%25%100%57%

Form: Rochdale: WWWLWW • Braintree: WLLWLDL

League goals

Metric Rochdale Braintree
HATHAT
GF total7613516
GF avg2.32.02.21.30.30.9
GA total1342911
GA avg0.31.00.70.53.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRochdaleBraintree
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%57%57%
1.567%17%14%57%
2.533%0%14%14%
3.517%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRochdaleBraintree
HATHAT
Clean sheets213303
Failed to score000123

Penalties

MetricRochdaleBraintree
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRochdaleBraintree
Wins31
Draws01
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-33-0—
Biggest losses—2-11-25-0
Goals For4331
Goals Against1225

Model comparison

MetricRochdaleBraintree
Form75%25%
Att79%21%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution98%2%
H2h50%50%
Goals33%67%
Total67.3%32.7%

Advice: Winner : Rochdale

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Betano
Draw5.09 @ Pinnacle
Away7.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.43 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.04 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Rochdale = 4.66 (league 1.48), Braintree = 0.07 (league 1.24)

Braintree
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rochdale 0 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.9% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 17.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 16.1% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.3% · Draw 1.2% · Away win 0.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1