Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 14:00 • The Lamb Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.48) 0.81 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.3% 30.7% 25.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.3%
0 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Eastleigh
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tamworth 0 14.3% 11.5% 4.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.3% 13.1% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.3% 7.5% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTamworthEastleigh
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack35%41%
Defense65%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tamworth Eastleigh
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%67%33%50%
Draws33%0%17%0%0%0%
Loses33%67%50%33%67%50%

Form: Tamworth: LLWLDW • Eastleigh: LLWWLW

League goals

Metric Tamworth Eastleigh
HATHAT
GF total437437
GF avg1.31.01.21.31.01.2
GA total358347
GA avg1.01.71.31.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTamworthEastleigh
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%50%83%
1.533%50%50%33%
2.50%0%17%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTamworthEastleigh
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricTamworthEastleigh
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricTamworthEastleigh
Wins12
Draws10
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-02-3
Biggest losses1-22-00-21-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricTamworthEastleigh
Form44%56%
Att46%54%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals67%33%
Total52.8%47.2%

Advice: Double chance : Tamworth or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.57 @ Pinnacle
Away3.71 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ SBO
Under 2.51.98 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.04 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tamworth = 1.14 (league 1.48), Eastleigh = 0.81 (league 1.24)

Eastleigh
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tamworth 0 14.3% 11.5% 4.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.3% 13.1% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.3% 7.5% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.3% · Draw 30.7% · Away win 25.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1