Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • The J. Davidson Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.49) 1.36 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.4% 28.1% 55.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.1%
0 - 0
14.0%
0 - 2
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Carlisle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Altrincham 0 14.0% 19.1% 13.0% 5.9% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.4% 11.5% 7.8% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 2.5% 3.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAltrinchamCarlisle
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack53%80%
Defense60%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Altrincham Carlisle
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins75%20%44%60%75%67%
Draws0%0%0%40%0%22%
Loses25%80%56%0%25%11%

Form: Altrincham: WLLLWLWWL • Carlisle: WDDWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Altrincham Carlisle
HATHAT
GF total761314519
GF avg1.81.21.42.81.32.1
GA total5914426
GA avg1.31.81.60.80.50.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAltrinchamCarlisle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%78%100%33%
1.544%67%56%22%
2.511%11%33%11%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAltrinchamCarlisle
HATHAT
Clean sheets112336
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricAltrinchamCarlisle
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAltrinchamCarlisle
Wins22
Draws02
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-25-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-1—2-1
Goals For3252
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricAltrinchamCarlisle
Form43%57%
Att40%60%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total34.3%65.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Carlisle

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.84 @ Pinnacle
Away2.15 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Altrincham = 0.60 (league 1.49), Carlisle = 1.36 (league 1.24)

Carlisle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Altrincham 0 14.0% 19.1% 13.0% 5.9% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.4% 11.5% 7.8% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 2.5% 3.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.4% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 55.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1