Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 11:30 • St. James Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.48) 0.51 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.6% 24.9% 12.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.7%
2 - 0
15.3%
0 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Sutton Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brackley Town 0 12.6% 6.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.7% 10.1% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.3% 7.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.9% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrackley TownSutton Utd
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack25%50%
Defense69%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brackley Town Sutton Utd
HATHAT
Played448549
Wins50%0%25%20%0%11%
Draws25%75%50%20%25%22%
Loses25%25%25%60%75%67%

Form: Brackley Town: WLWDDLDD • Sutton Utd: DDLLLWLLL

League goals

Metric Brackley Town Sutton Utd
HATHAT
GF total4489312
GF avg1.01.01.01.80.81.3
GA total35811920
GA avg0.81.31.02.22.32.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrackley TownSutton Utd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%67%89%
1.525%25%56%67%
2.50%0%11%44%
3.50%0%0%22%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrackley TownSutton Utd
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricBrackley TownSutton Utd
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBrackley TownSutton Utd
Wins11
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-1
Biggest losses0-12-13-44-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against1244

Model comparison

MetricBrackley TownSutton Utd
Form57%43%
Att33%67%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total61.8%38.2%

Advice: Double chance : Brackley Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ William Hill
Draw3.75 @ Pinnacle
Away4.18 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Pinnacle
No2.11 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Brackley Town = 1.56 (league 1.48), Sutton Utd = 0.51 (league 1.25)

Sutton Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brackley Town 0 12.6% 6.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.7% 10.1% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.3% 7.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.9% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.6% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 12.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1