Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 16:30 • Crown Oil Arena
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.48) 0.48 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.3% 24.9% 11.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.3%
2 - 0
15.7%
0 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Southend
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rochdale 0 13.1% 6.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.3% 9.8% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.7% 7.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.1% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRochdaleSouthend
Played55
Form80%53%
Attack53%60%
Defense80%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rochdale Southend
HATHAT
Played448549
Wins100%75%88%40%75%56%
Draws0%0%0%60%0%33%
Loses0%25%13%0%25%11%

Form: Rochdale: WWWLWWWW • Southend: WWDWDWLWD

League goals

Metric Rochdale Southend
HATHAT
GF total97167815
GF avg2.31.82.01.42.01.7
GA total134246
GA avg0.30.80.50.41.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRochdaleSouthend
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%38%89%44%
1.563%13%56%11%
2.525%0%22%11%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRochdaleSouthend
HATHAT
Clean sheets325325
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricRochdaleSouthend
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRochdaleSouthend
Wins32
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-33-00-3
Biggest losses2-13-2
Goals For4333
Goals Against1213

Model comparison

MetricRochdaleSouthend
Form60%40%
Att47%53%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h38%62%
Goals47%53%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Double chance : Rochdale or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away3.10 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rochdale = 1.55 (league 1.48), Southend = 0.48 (league 1.24)

Southend
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rochdale 0 13.1% 6.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.3% 9.8% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.7% 7.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.1% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.3% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 11.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1