Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 19:45 • Spotland Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.51) 0.62 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.0% 25.6% 14.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.8%
2 - 0
13.6%
0 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Southend
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rochdale 0 11.6% 7.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.8% 11.0% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 8.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.0% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRochdaleSouthend
Played55
Form80%73%
Attack53%67%
Defense80%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rochdale Southend
HATHAT
Played111425121426
Wins82%79%80%58%43%50%
Draws0%7%4%25%29%27%
Loses18%14%16%17%29%23%

Form: Rochdale: WWWLWWWWWWLWWDWLWWWWWLWWW • Southend: WWDWDWLWDLLDWWWDLWWLLWWDWD

League goals

Metric Rochdale Southend
HATHAT
GF total232447212243
GF avg2.11.71.91.81.61.7
GA total6101671623
GA avg0.50.70.60.61.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRochdaleSouthend
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.596%40%92%54%
1.560%16%42%27%
2.524%4%27%8%
3.58%4%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRochdaleSouthend
HATHAT
Clean sheets78157512
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricRochdaleSouthend
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricRochdaleSouthend
Wins63
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-34-10-3
Biggest losses1-24-10-23-2
Goals For4343
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricRochdaleSouthend
Form52%48%
Att44%56%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h38%62%
Goals47%53%
Total52.3%47.8%

Advice: Double chance : Rochdale or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Dafabet
Draw3.52 @ Pinnacle
Away3.32 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.98 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rochdale = 1.53 (league 1.51), Southend = 0.62 (league 1.29)

Southend
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rochdale 0 11.6% 7.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.8% 11.0% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 8.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.0% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.0% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 14.9%

vtt 7 , vtd1