Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Truro Sports Hub
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.48 (league 1.49) 1.26 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.0% 18.1% 17.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
3 - 1
7.6%
1 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Morecambe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Truro City 0 2.4% 3.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
1 5.9% 7.4% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
2 7.3% 9.2% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.6% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 3.7% 4.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.9% 2.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTruro CityMorecambe
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack17%83%
Defense8%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.215 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Truro City Morecambe
HATHAT
Played5611538
Wins20%0%9%40%0%25%
Draws20%0%9%0%33%13%
Loses60%100%82%60%67%63%

Form: Truro City: LLLLLWDLLLL • Morecambe: WLLLLDWL

League goals

Metric Truro City Morecambe
HATHAT
GF total5168412
GF avg1.00.20.51.61.31.5
GA total61420111122
GA avg1.22.31.82.23.72.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTruro CityMorecambe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.527%91%63%100%
1.518%64%38%88%
2.59%18%25%63%
3.50%9%25%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTruro CityMorecambe
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score358123

Penalties

MetricTruro CityMorecambe
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricTruro CityMorecambe
Wins11
Draws11
Losses54

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—4-3—
Biggest losses0-24-01-34-0
Goals For3144
Goals Against2434

Model comparison

MetricTruro CityMorecambe
Form20%80%
Att17%83%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total39.8%60.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Morecambe

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ William Hill
Draw3.98 @ Pinnacle
Away3.03 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Pinnacle
No2.38 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Truro City = 2.48 (league 1.49), Morecambe = 1.26 (league 1.24)

Morecambe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Truro City 0 2.4% 3.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
1 5.9% 7.4% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
2 7.3% 9.2% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.6% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 3.7% 4.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.9% 2.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.0% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 17.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1