Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 18:45 • The Mazuma Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.70 (league 1.48) 3.01 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.1% 16.7% 38.4%
best score tips
2 - 3
5.5%
2 - 2
5.5%
3 - 3
4.9%
Score & goals probability table
Gateshead
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morecambe 0 0.3% 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.1% 0.7%
1 0.9% 2.7% 4.0% 4.1% 3.1% 1.8%
2 1.2% 3.6% 5.5% 5.5% 4.1% 2.5%
3 1.1% 3.3% 4.9% 4.9% 3.7% 2.2%
4 0.7% 2.2% 3.3% 3.3% 2.5% 1.5%
5 0.4% 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 1.4% 0.8%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMorecambeGateshead
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack90%50%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)17 | 3.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

80%
FT probability

3.5+

57%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Morecambe Gateshead
HATHAT
Played5496612
Wins40%0%22%17%50%33%
Draws0%25%11%17%17%17%
Loses60%75%67%67%33%50%

Form: Morecambe: WLLLLDWLL • Gateshead: LWLWWDLLDLLW

League goals

Metric Morecambe Gateshead
HATHAT
GF total841261016
GF avg1.61.01.31.01.71.3
GA total111627121527
GA avg2.24.03.02.02.52.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMorecambeGateshead
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%100%58%92%
1.533%89%50%67%
2.522%67%17%42%
3.522%33%8%17%
4.50%11%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMorecambeGateshead
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score134325

Penalties

MetricMorecambeGateshead
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMorecambeGateshead
Wins12
Draws11
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-3—2-10-2
Biggest losses1-35-00-35-0
Goals For4434
Goals Against3535

Model comparison

MetricMorecambeGateshead
Form50%50%
Att64%36%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Morecambe or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ William Hill
Draw3.96 @ Pinnacle
Away2.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.41 @ Unibet
No2.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Morecambe = 2.70 (league 1.48), Gateshead = 3.01 (league 1.24)

Gateshead
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morecambe 0 0.3% 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.1% 0.7%
1 0.9% 2.7% 4.0% 4.1% 3.1% 1.8%
2 1.2% 3.6% 5.5% 5.5% 4.1% 2.5%
3 1.1% 3.3% 4.9% 4.9% 3.7% 2.2%
4 0.7% 2.2% 3.3% 3.3% 2.5% 1.5%
5 0.4% 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 1.4% 0.8%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.1% · Draw 16.7% · Away win 38.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1