Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 18:45 • Moss Lane
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.48) 1.45 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.2% 21.5% 27.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 1
9.1%
2 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Tamworth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Altrincham 0 3.1% 4.5% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.3% 9.1% 6.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.3% 9.2% 6.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 4.3% 6.2% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.2% 3.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAltrinchamTamworth
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack29%35%
Defense47%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Altrincham Tamworth
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%17%33%50%33%42%
Draws0%0%0%33%17%25%
Loses50%83%67%17%50%33%

Form: Altrincham: WLLLWLWWLLLL • Tamworth: LLWLDWWLWWDD

League goals

Metric Altrincham Tamworth
HATHAT
GF total96157714
GF avg1.51.01.31.21.21.2
GA total9101941216
GA avg1.51.71.60.72.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAltrinchamTamworth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%83%75%
1.533%67%25%42%
2.58%8%8%8%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAltrinchamTamworth
HATHAT
Clean sheets112303
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricAltrinchamTamworth
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAltrinchamTamworth
Wins22
Draws01
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-02-3
Biggest losses0-23-11-24-0
Goals For3223
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricAltrinchamTamworth
Form27%73%
Att45%55%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h80%20%
Goals60%40%
Total52.8%47.2%

Advice: Double chance : Altrincham or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ William Hill
Draw4.01 @ Pinnacle
Away3.40 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Pinnacle
No2.30 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Altrincham = 2.02 (league 1.48), Tamworth = 1.45 (league 1.24)

Tamworth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Altrincham 0 3.1% 4.5% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.3% 9.1% 6.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.3% 9.2% 6.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 4.3% 6.2% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.2% 3.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.2% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 27.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1