Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 18:45 • York Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.51) 1.17 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.3% 22.7% 23.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Scunthorpe
0 1 2 3 4 5
York 0 4.9% 5.7% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.0% 10.5% 6.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 5.2% 6.1% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.4% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricYorkScunthorpe
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack76%53%
Defense76%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric York Scunthorpe
HATHAT
Played4610459
Wins50%50%50%50%60%56%
Draws25%50%40%50%40%44%
Loses25%0%10%0%0%0%

Form: York: DWDDWWWLWD • Scunthorpe: WWWDDDWDW

League goals

Metric York Scunthorpe
HATHAT
GF total1110219918
GF avg2.81.72.12.31.82.0
GA total358358
GA avg0.80.80.80.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineYorkScunthorpe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%100%78%
1.560%20%56%11%
2.540%0%33%0%
3.520%0%11%0%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricYorkScunthorpe
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricYorkScunthorpe
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricYorkScunthorpe
Wins33
Draws23
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-34-00-2
Biggest losses0-1———
Goals For5343
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricYorkScunthorpe
Form53%47%
Att59%41%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h67%33%
Goals64%36%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : York or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ William Hill
Draw4.26 @ Pinnacle
Away5.17 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): York = 1.86 (league 1.51), Scunthorpe = 1.17 (league 1.23)

Scunthorpe
0 1 2 3 4 5
York 0 4.9% 5.7% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.0% 10.5% 6.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 5.2% 6.1% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.4% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.3% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 23.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1