Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.50) 0.68 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.1% 25.3% 16.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.7%
2 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sutton Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Braintree 0 10.7% 7.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.7% 11.3% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.0% 8.8% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.8% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBraintreeSutton Utd
Played55
Form27%13%
Attack54%38%
Defense31%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Braintree Sutton Utd
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%14%23%14%0%8%
Draws17%14%15%29%33%31%
Loses50%71%62%57%67%62%

Form: Braintree: WLLWLDLLLWLLD • Sutton Utd: DDLLLWLLLLDDL

League goals

Metric Braintree Sutton Utd
HATHAT
GF total851311415
GF avg1.30.71.01.60.71.2
GA total71522141125
GA avg1.22.11.72.01.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBraintreeSutton Utd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%77%69%92%
1.523%62%38%54%
2.515%15%8%31%
3.50%8%0%15%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBraintreeSutton Utd
HATHAT
Clean sheets303101
Failed to score145134

Penalties

MetricBraintreeSutton Utd
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBraintreeSutton Utd
Wins11
Draws12
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-32-1—
Biggest losses2-35-03-44-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against3544

Model comparison

MetricBraintreeSutton Utd
Form67%33%
Att58%42%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total59.0%41.0%

Advice: Double chance : Braintree or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away2.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ SBO
Under 2.52.00 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ 188Bet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Braintree = 1.56 (league 1.50), Sutton Utd = 0.68 (league 1.24)

Sutton Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Braintree 0 10.7% 7.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.7% 11.3% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.0% 8.8% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.8% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.1% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 16.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1