Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 11:30 • Victoria Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.50) 0.41 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.2% 44.8% 20.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.0%
1 - 0
22.4%
0 - 1
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
York
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hartlepool 0 35.0% 14.4% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.4% 9.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.2% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHartlepoolYork
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack23%77%
Defense62%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hartlepool York
HATHAT
Played67135611
Wins33%29%31%40%50%45%
Draws67%29%46%20%50%36%
Loses0%43%23%40%0%18%

Form: Hartlepool: DWWWDDDLDLWDL • York: DWDDWWWLWDL

League goals

Metric Hartlepool York
HATHAT
GF total7512121022
GF avg1.20.70.92.41.72.0
GA total2686511
GA avg0.30.90.61.20.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHartlepoolYork
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%46%82%64%
1.523%8%55%27%
2.58%8%36%9%
3.50%0%18%0%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHartlepoolYork
HATHAT
Clean sheets437224
Failed to score235112

Penalties

MetricHartlepoolYork
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricHartlepoolYork
Wins33
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-01-3
Biggest losses—3-11-3—
Goals For3253
Goals Against1332

Model comparison

MetricHartlepoolYork
Form42%58%
Att23%77%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h60%40%
Goals53%47%
Total49.2%50.8%

Advice: Double chance : Hartlepool or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away1.93 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ 188Bet
No2.40 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hartlepool = 0.64 (league 1.50), York = 0.41 (league 1.24)

York
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hartlepool 0 35.0% 14.4% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.4% 9.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.2% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.2% · Draw 44.8% · Away win 20.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1