Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 16:30 • Attis Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.48) 0.77 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.7% 20.2% 13.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.5%
1 - 0
12.4%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Carlisle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Scunthorpe 0 6.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.4% 9.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.5% 9.7% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.4% 6.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricScunthorpeCarlisle
Played55
Form73%60%
Attack85%54%
Defense77%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Scunthorpe Carlisle
HATHAT
Played46107613
Wins50%67%60%57%67%62%
Draws50%33%40%29%0%15%
Loses0%0%0%14%33%23%

Form: Scunthorpe: WWWDDDWDWW • Carlisle: WDDWWLWWWWLLW

League goals

Metric Scunthorpe Carlisle
HATHAT
GF total9122117724
GF avg2.32.02.12.41.21.8
GA total3697815
GA avg0.81.00.91.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineScunthorpeCarlisle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%85%54%
1.560%10%54%31%
2.540%0%31%15%
3.510%0%8%8%
4.50%0%8%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricScunthorpeCarlisle
HATHAT
Clean sheets112336
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricScunthorpeCarlisle
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricScunthorpeCarlisle
Wins34
Draws32
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-35-00-2
Biggest losses0-25-0
Goals For4352
Goals Against1235

Model comparison

MetricScunthorpeCarlisle
Form55%45%
Att61%39%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%63%
Total56.8%43.3%

Advice: Double chance : Scunthorpe or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.49 @ 188Bet
Draw3.56 @ Pinnacle
Away2.86 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ SBO
Under 2.52.05 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Bet365
No2.23 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Scunthorpe = 2.02 (league 1.48), Carlisle = 0.77 (league 1.24)

Carlisle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Scunthorpe 0 6.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.4% 9.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.5% 9.7% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.4% 6.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.7% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 13.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1