Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • The Lamb Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.24 (league 1.48) 0.56 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.8% 8.6% 3.6%
best score tips
3 - 0
12.6%
2 - 0
11.7%
4 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Morecambe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tamworth 0 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.2% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.7% 6.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.6% 7.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 10.2% 5.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.6% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTamworthMorecambe
Played55
Form73%27%
Attack44%61%
Defense72%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 119 | 3.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tamworth Morecambe
HATHAT
Played67136410
Wins50%43%46%33%0%20%
Draws33%14%23%0%25%10%
Loses17%43%31%67%75%70%

Form: Tamworth: LLWLDWWLWWDDW • Morecambe: WLLLLDWLLL

League goals

Metric Tamworth Morecambe
HATHAT
GF total791610414
GF avg1.21.31.21.71.01.4
GA total41317161632
GA avg0.71.91.32.74.03.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTamworthMorecambe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%77%60%100%
1.531%38%40%90%
2.58%8%20%70%
3.50%8%20%40%
4.50%0%0%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTamworthMorecambe
HATHAT
Clean sheets303000
Failed to score022134

Penalties

MetricTamworthMorecambe
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricTamworthMorecambe
Wins21
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-34-3
Biggest losses1-24-02-55-0
Goals For2344
Goals Against2455

Model comparison

MetricTamworthMorecambe
Form73%27%
Att42%58%
Def79%21%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total70.0%30.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Tamworth or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ William Hill
Draw5.00 @ Bet365
Away7.10 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.63 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.22 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tamworth = 3.24 (league 1.48), Morecambe = 0.56 (league 1.24)

Morecambe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tamworth 0 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.2% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.7% 6.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.6% 7.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 10.2% 5.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.6% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.8% · Draw 8.6% · Away win 3.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1