Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 16:30 • Brunton Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.47) 1.29 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.7% 27.4% 39.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 1
11.3%
1 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Forest Green
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carlisle 0 8.8% 11.3% 7.3% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
1 10.1% 12.9% 8.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.8% 7.4% 4.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.2% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarlisleForest Green
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack43%36%
Defense36%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carlisle Forest Green
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins57%71%64%57%57%57%
Draws29%0%14%29%43%36%
Loses14%29%21%14%0%7%

Form: Carlisle: WDDWWLWWWWLLWW • Forest Green: DWWWWDWWDWWDDL

League goals

Metric Carlisle Forest Green
HATHAT
GF total17825101121
GF avg2.41.11.81.41.61.5
GA total7815358
GA avg1.01.11.10.40.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarlisleForest Green
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%50%79%50%
1.550%29%50%7%
2.529%14%14%0%
3.57%7%7%0%
4.57%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarlisleForest Green
HATHAT
Clean sheets347437
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricCarlisleForest Green
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCarlisleForest Green
Wins44
Draws22
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-24-01-3
Biggest losses0-25-00-1—
Goals For5243
Goals Against3512

Model comparison

MetricCarlisleForest Green
Form53%47%
Att55%45%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h20%80%
Goals36%64%
Total39.5%60.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Forest Green

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ William Hill
Draw3.42 @ Pinnacle
Away2.91 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.11 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carlisle = 1.14 (league 1.47), Forest Green = 1.29 (league 1.24)

Forest Green
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carlisle 0 8.8% 11.3% 7.3% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
1 10.1% 12.9% 8.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.8% 7.4% 4.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.2% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.7% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 39.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1