Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Crown Oil Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.48) 0.73 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.7% 20.0% 12.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.0%
1 - 0
12.9%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Yeovil Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rochdale 0 6.4% 4.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.9% 9.5% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.7% 6.4% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.4% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRochdaleYeovil Town
Played55
Form80%60%
Attack64%50%
Defense79%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rochdale Yeovil Town
HATHAT
Played66127714
Wins83%83%83%43%43%43%
Draws0%0%0%14%0%7%
Loses17%17%17%43%57%50%

Form: Rochdale: WWWLWWWWWWLW • Yeovil Town: DLWLLLWLWLWWWL

League goals

Metric Rochdale Yeovil Town
HATHAT
GF total1410248917
GF avg2.31.72.01.11.31.2
GA total43711920
GA avg0.70.50.61.61.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRochdaleYeovil Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%42%64%71%
1.558%17%36%36%
2.525%0%14%29%
3.517%0%7%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRochdaleYeovil Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets347314
Failed to score000235

Penalties

MetricRochdaleYeovil Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricRochdaleYeovil Town
Wins63
Draws01
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-32-11-4
Biggest losses1-22-10-32-0
Goals For4334
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricRochdaleYeovil Town
Form57%43%
Att56%44%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h80%20%
Goals73%27%
Total68.0%32.0%

Advice: Double chance : Rochdale or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.56 @ Pinnacle
Away7.00 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rochdale = 2.02 (league 1.48), Yeovil Town = 0.73 (league 1.24)

Yeovil Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rochdale 0 6.4% 4.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.9% 9.5% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.7% 6.4% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.4% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.7% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 12.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1