Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 16:30 • VBS Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.48) 1.13 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.0% 29.8% 39.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.8%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Hartlepool
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sutton Utd 0 12.2% 13.8% 7.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.9% 13.4% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.8% 6.5% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSutton UtdHartlepool
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack21%29%
Defense64%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sutton Utd Hartlepool
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins14%0%7%29%29%29%
Draws29%43%36%57%29%43%
Loses57%57%57%14%43%29%

Form: Sutton Utd: DDLLLWLLLLDDLD • Hartlepool: DWWWDDDLDLWDLL

League goals

Metric Sutton Utd Hartlepool
HATHAT
GF total114158513
GF avg1.60.61.11.10.70.9
GA total1411254610
GA avg2.01.61.80.60.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSutton UtdHartlepool
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%86%64%50%
1.536%50%21%14%
2.57%29%7%7%
3.50%14%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSutton UtdHartlepool
HATHAT
Clean sheets112437
Failed to score145235

Penalties

MetricSutton UtdHartlepool
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSutton UtdHartlepool
Wins13
Draws23
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-13-00-2
Biggest losses3-44-01-23-1
Goals For3232
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricSutton UtdHartlepool
Form43%57%
Att43%57%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total46.0%54.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Hartlepool and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.54 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away2.57 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ 188Bet
No2.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.59 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sutton Utd = 0.97 (league 1.48), Hartlepool = 1.13 (league 1.24)

Hartlepool
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sutton Utd 0 12.2% 13.8% 7.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.9% 13.4% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.8% 6.5% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.0% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 39.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1