Tue, Nov 4 2025 • 19:45 • The Prestige Group Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.43 (league 1.50) 0.57 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.8% 14.7% 6.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.8%
1 - 0
12.2%
3 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Morecambe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hartlepool 0 5.0% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.2% 6.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.8% 8.4% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.9% 6.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.2% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHartlepoolMorecambe
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack57%50%
Defense36%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hartlepool Morecambe
HATHAT
Played88167815
Wins38%25%31%29%13%20%
Draws50%38%44%0%25%13%
Loses13%38%25%71%63%67%

Form: Hartlepool: DWWWDDDLDLWDLLDW • Morecambe: WLLLLDWLLLDLLWL

League goals

Metric Hartlepool Morecambe
HATHAT
GF total10818101121
GF avg1.31.01.11.41.41.4
GA total4913192241
GA avg0.51.10.82.72.82.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHartlepoolMorecambe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%50%67%93%
1.531%19%33%80%
2.513%13%20%60%
3.50%0%20%27%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHartlepoolMorecambe
HATHAT
Clean sheets538011
Failed to score235235

Penalties

MetricHartlepoolMorecambe
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricHartlepoolMorecambe
Wins31
Draws31
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-30-4
Biggest losses1-23-12-55-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against2355

Model comparison

MetricHartlepoolMorecambe
Form56%44%
Att53%47%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Hartlepool or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ William Hill
Draw4.80 @ Pinnacle
Away4.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.13 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.47 @ Pinnacle
No2.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hartlepool = 2.43 (league 1.50), Morecambe = 0.57 (league 1.24)

Morecambe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hartlepool 0 5.0% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.2% 6.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.8% 8.4% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.9% 6.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.2% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.8% · Draw 14.7% · Away win 6.8%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1