Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 19:45 • Crown Oil Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.51) 0.84 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.2% 19.8% 14.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.7%
1 - 0
11.2%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Scunthorpe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rochdale 0 5.4% 4.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.2% 9.4% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.8% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.1% 6.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.2% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRochdaleScunthorpe
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack59%71%
Defense76%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rochdale Scunthorpe
HATHAT
Played151530141529
Wins87%73%80%64%47%55%
Draws0%13%7%21%33%28%
Loses13%13%13%14%20%17%

Form: Rochdale: WWWLWWWWWWLWWDWLWWWWWLWWWWWWWD • Scunthorpe: WWWDDDWDWWLWDDWWLDLWWWWDWWWLL

League goals

Metric Rochdale Scunthorpe
HATHAT
GF total322557282755
GF avg2.11.71.92.01.81.9
GA total91120162339
GA avg0.60.70.71.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRochdaleScunthorpe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.597%47%93%83%
1.560%13%62%24%
2.523%3%31%14%
3.510%3%3%7%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRochdaleScunthorpe
HATHAT
Clean sheets8816415
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricRochdaleScunthorpe
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%9 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total19

Streaks

MetricRochdaleScunthorpe
Wins74
Draws13
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-34-01-3
Biggest losses1-24-13-63-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against2464

Model comparison

MetricRochdaleScunthorpe
Form59%41%
Att45%55%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h85%15%
Goals75%25%
Total68.5%31.5%

Advice: Double chance : Rochdale or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ William Hill
Draw3.80 @ Pinnacle
Away5.29 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.12 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rochdale = 2.09 (league 1.51), Scunthorpe = 0.84 (league 1.29)

Scunthorpe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rochdale 0 5.4% 4.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.2% 9.4% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.8% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.1% 6.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.2% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.2% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 14.0%

vtt 4 , vtd1