Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 19:45 • LNER Community Stadium
Match Finished
4 - 0
Expected Goals
3.65 (league 1.49) 1.69 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.5% 12.6% 12.9%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.6%
4 - 1
6.0%
3 - 2
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
Gateshead
0 1 2 3 4 5
York 0 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.8% 3.0% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
2 3.2% 5.4% 4.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
3 3.9% 6.6% 5.5% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
4 3.6% 6.0% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
5 2.6% 4.4% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricYorkGateshead
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack91%91%
Defense36%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric York Gateshead
HATHAT
Played78158816
Wins43%50%47%13%50%31%
Draws29%50%40%25%25%25%
Loses29%0%13%63%25%44%

Form: York: DWDDWWWLWDLWWDD • Gateshead: LWLWWDLLDLLWWLDD

League goals

Metric York Gateshead
HATHAT
GF total18133191524
GF avg2.61.62.11.11.91.5
GA total8715171734
GA avg1.10.91.02.12.12.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineYorkGateshead
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%67%63%88%
1.560%27%50%69%
2.533%7%19%38%
3.520%0%13%13%
4.57%0%6%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricYorkGateshead
HATHAT
Clean sheets325022
Failed to score112336

Penalties

MetricYorkGateshead
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricYorkGateshead
Wins32
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-32-12-5
Biggest losses1-3—0-35-0
Goals For5335
Goals Against3235

Model comparison

MetricYorkGateshead
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h85%15%
Goals69%31%
Total62.5%37.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : York or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.26 @ Betano
Draw6.50 @ Bet365
Away9.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.26 @ Betano
Under 2.54.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ 188Bet
No2.48 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): York = 3.65 (league 1.49), Gateshead = 1.69 (league 1.24)

Gateshead
0 1 2 3 4 5
York 0 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.8% 3.0% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
2 3.2% 5.4% 4.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
3 3.9% 6.6% 5.5% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
4 3.6% 6.0% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
5 2.6% 4.4% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.5% · Draw 12.6% · Away win 12.9%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1