Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 15:00 • Mazuma Mobile Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.51) 1.76 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.1% 22.2% 37.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.2%
2 - 1
8.1%
1 - 2
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Sutton Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morecambe 0 3.0% 5.2% 4.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
1 5.2% 9.2% 8.1% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.6% 8.1% 7.1% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.7% 4.8% 4.2% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.2% 2.1% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMorecambeSutton Utd
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack50%57%
Defense36%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Morecambe Sutton Utd
HATHAT
Played79169817
Wins29%11%19%22%0%12%
Draws0%33%19%33%38%35%
Loses71%56%63%44%63%53%

Form: Morecambe: WLLLLDWLLLDLLWLD • Sutton Utd: DDLLLWLLLLDDLDDLW

League goals

Metric Morecambe Sutton Utd
HATHAT
GF total10122216622
GF avg1.41.31.41.80.81.3
GA total192342181533
GA avg2.72.62.62.01.91.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMorecambeSutton Utd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%94%71%88%
1.531%75%47%53%
2.519%56%12%35%
3.519%25%0%18%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMorecambeSutton Utd
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score235145

Penalties

MetricMorecambeSutton Utd
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricMorecambeSutton Utd
Wins11
Draws12
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-30-42-1—
Biggest losses2-55-03-44-0
Goals For4432
Goals Against5544

Model comparison

MetricMorecambeSutton Utd
Form44%56%
Att47%53%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total52.4%47.6%

Advice: Double chance : Morecambe or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.82 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.49 @ 188Bet
No2.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Morecambe = 1.76 (league 1.51), Sutton Utd = 1.76 (league 1.23)

Sutton Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morecambe 0 3.0% 5.2% 4.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
1 5.2% 9.2% 8.1% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.6% 8.1% 7.1% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.7% 4.8% 4.2% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.2% 2.1% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.1% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 37.8%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1