Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 17:30 • Roots Hall
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.51) 0.45 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.6% 33.2% 15.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.4%
0 - 0
21.4%
2 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Carlisle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southend 0 21.4% 9.6% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.4% 10.5% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.8% 5.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthendCarlisle
Played55
Form73%87%
Attack100%100%
Defense75%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southend Carlisle
HATHAT
Played88169817
Wins50%50%50%67%63%65%
Draws38%25%31%22%13%18%
Loses13%25%19%11%25%18%

Form: Southend: WWDWDWLWDLLDWWWD • Carlisle: WDDWWLWWWWLLWWWDW

League goals

Metric Southend Carlisle
HATHAT
GF total12142623932
GF avg1.51.81.62.61.11.9
GA total48129918
GA avg0.51.00.81.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthendCarlisle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%50%88%53%
1.550%19%53%29%
2.525%6%29%12%
3.50%0%12%6%
4.50%0%6%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthendCarlisle
HATHAT
Clean sheets538448
Failed to score202112

Penalties

MetricSouthendCarlisle
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricSouthendCarlisle
Wins34
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-35-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-20-25-0
Goals For3352
Goals Against2335

Model comparison

MetricSouthendCarlisle
Form46%54%
Att48%52%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h36%64%
Goals38%63%
Total51.2%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : Southend or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ Unibet
Draw3.78 @ Pinnacle
Away2.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ 188Bet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southend = 1.09 (league 1.51), Carlisle = 0.45 (league 1.23)

Carlisle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southend 0 21.4% 9.6% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.4% 10.5% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.8% 5.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.6% · Draw 33.2% · Away win 15.0%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1