Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 15:03 • Brunton Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.50) 0.72 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.0% 19.2% 11.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.1%
1 - 0
12.6%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Eastleigh
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carlisle 0 6.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.6% 9.1% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.1% 9.5% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.1% 6.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarlisleEastleigh
Played55
Form87%27%
Attack63%38%
Defense75%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carlisle Eastleigh
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins67%67%67%44%22%33%
Draws22%11%17%22%22%22%
Loses11%22%17%33%56%44%

Form: Carlisle: WDDWWLWWWWLLWWWDWW • Eastleigh: LLWWLWLDLWDWDLDWLL

League goals

Metric Carlisle Eastleigh
HATHAT
GF total23113413821
GF avg2.61.21.91.40.91.2
GA total91019141125
GA avg1.01.11.11.61.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarlisleEastleigh
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%56%67%83%
1.556%28%44%39%
2.528%11%6%11%
3.511%6%0%6%
4.56%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarlisleEastleigh
HATHAT
Clean sheets448123
Failed to score112156

Penalties

MetricCarlisleEastleigh
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricCarlisleEastleigh
Wins42
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-22-00-2
Biggest losses0-25-02-42-0
Goals For5223
Goals Against3542

Model comparison

MetricCarlisleEastleigh
Form76%24%
Att63%38%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total71.3%29.0%

Advice: Winner : Carlisle

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ 188Bet
Draw4.95 @ Pinnacle
Away7.91 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carlisle = 2.08 (league 1.50), Eastleigh = 0.72 (league 1.24)

Eastleigh
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carlisle 0 6.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.6% 9.1% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.1% 9.5% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.1% 6.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.0% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 11.8%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1